L’École des cotes

Cambridge United v Grimsby Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Score final : Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Prévision 49.93%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.63%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -5.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.77%49.92%50.14%51.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.841.851.9156.82%54.42%54.20%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grimsby Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.84%4.38cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.251%
Kelly -0.327%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.64%22.85%22.78%24.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.094.204.3326.32%24.43%23.81%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.23%3.67cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -0.943%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%27.23%27.08%29.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.5533.33%29.48%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.71%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:20
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.71%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 18:25
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.06%EV -7.26%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:15
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:24
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 12:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -1.09%E -0.251%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:25
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:33
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:15
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.41%EV -8.13%E -4.42%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:25
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -8.13%E -4.42%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.71%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:25
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:19
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -9.13%E -5.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:24
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-21 18:30