La escuela de los momios

Cambridge United v Grimsby Town

Inicio: 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Predicción 49.93%2.00momio equitativo
EV -4.63%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -5.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.77%49.92%50.14%51.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.841.851.9156.82%54.42%54.20%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 22.84%4.38momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.251%
Kelly -0.327%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.64%22.85%22.78%24.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.094.204.3326.32%24.43%23.81%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.943%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%27.23%27.08%29.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.5533.33%29.48%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.71%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:20
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.71%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 18:25
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.06%EV -7.26%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:15
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:24
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 12:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -1.09%E -0.251%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:25
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:33
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:15
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.41%EV -8.13%E -4.42%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:25
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -8.13%E -4.42%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.71%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:25
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:19
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -9.13%E -5.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:24
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-21 18:30