Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Rotherham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 54.64%1.83fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.24%54.61%54.62%55.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.711.7561.35%58.78%58.65%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rotherham United (Visit)
Prediction 21.56%4.64fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.601%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%21.53%21.64%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.284.284.5425.00%23.38%23.39%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.80%4.20fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.585%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.97%23.85%23.74%25.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.854.1027.78%25.90%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 54.64%; Rotherham United (Visit): 21.56%; Draw: 23.80%. For Rotherham United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.54, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 11:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 12:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.34%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.83%EV -2.13%E -0.468%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.23%EV -3.11%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 05:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.67%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.37%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.20%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.33% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |