Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol Rovers v Rotherham United

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Bristol Rovers 1–0 Rotherham United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Previsão 54.64%1.83odd justa
EV -4.39%
Vantagem -2.51%
Kelly -5.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.24%54.61%54.62%55.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.701.711.7561.35%58.78%58.65%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Previsão 21.56%4.64odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.468%
Kelly -0.601%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.75%21.53%21.64%22.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.284.284.5425.00%23.38%23.39%22.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.80%4.20odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.585%
Kelly -0.774%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.97%23.85%23.74%25.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.863.854.1027.78%25.90%25.97%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bristol Rovers (Local): 54.64%; Rotherham United (Visitante): 21.56%; Empate: 23.80%. Para Rotherham United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.54, com valor esperado de -2.13%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 22:24
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 22:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 11:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:03
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.34%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:55
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.83%EV -2.13%E -0.468%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.23%EV -3.11%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 05:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.67%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:20
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:23
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 22:15
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.37%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.20%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 09:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%2.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%3.3%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.9%2026-09-04 13:40
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35