Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers v Rotherham United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Bristol Rovers 1–0 Rotherham United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prévision 54.64%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.39%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -5.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.24%54.61%54.62%55.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.701.711.7561.35%58.78%58.65%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rotherham United (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.56%4.64cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.468%
Kelly -0.601%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%21.53%21.64%22.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.284.284.5425.00%23.38%23.39%22.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.80%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.585%
Kelly -0.774%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.97%23.85%23.74%25.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.863.854.1027.78%25.90%25.97%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bristol Rovers (Local) : 54.64% ; Rotherham United (Visiteur) : 21.56% ; Match nul : 23.80%. Pour Rotherham United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.54, pour une espérance de -2.13% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 22:24
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 22:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 11:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.40%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:03
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.34%EV -5.79%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:55
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.83%EV -2.13%E -0.468%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.23%EV -3.11%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.61%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 05:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.67%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:20
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:23
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.97%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 22:15
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.37%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.20%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 09:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%2.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%3.3%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.9%2026-09-04 13:40
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35