Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Crewe Alexandra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.980%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.73%40.46%40.69%42.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.322.302.4145.87%43.13%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visit)
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.87%31.63%31.57%33.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.903.1037.04%34.66%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.90%27.74%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.203.5034.72%30.57%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 40.51%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 31.58%; Draw: 27.90%. For Crewe Alexandra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -2.36%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.49%EV -4.30%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -4.79%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.34%E -0.668%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.99%EV -8.09%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.99%EV -8.09%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.73%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -7.22%E -3.15%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -9.25%E -4.13%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -9.31%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.87%E -4.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -2.34%E -0.668%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -11.68%E -5.36%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.79% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.64% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 24.89% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 57.91% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 17.21% | 66.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |