La escuela de los momios

Bristol Rovers v Crewe Alexandra

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Predicción 40.51%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.980%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.73%40.46%40.69%42.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.322.302.4145.87%43.13%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -0.997%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.87%31.63%31.57%33.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.1037.04%34.66%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -0.935%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.33%27.90%27.74%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.203.5034.72%30.57%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -2.36%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.49%EV -4.30%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:56
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -4.79%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:58
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.34%E -0.668%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:59
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.99%EV -8.09%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.99%EV -8.09%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.73%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -7.22%E -3.15%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 15:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -9.25%E -4.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -9.31%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.87%E -4.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -2.34%E -0.668%K -0.935%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -11.68%E -5.36%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86%2.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 24.89%1.04I 96.15%NM 57.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 17.21%66.0%2026-03-07 15:00