L’École des cotes

Bristol Rovers v Crewe Alexandra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prévision 40.51%2.47cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.980%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.73%40.46%40.69%42.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.322.302.4145.87%43.13%43.48%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.675%
Kelly -0.997%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.87%31.63%31.57%33.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.1037.04%34.66%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -0.935%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.33%27.90%27.74%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.203.5034.72%30.57%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -2.36%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.49%EV -4.30%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:56
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 15:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -4.79%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:58
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.34%E -0.668%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:59
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.99%EV -8.09%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.99%EV -8.09%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:59
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -6.82%E -2.96%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.73%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -7.22%E -3.15%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.88%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.69%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 15:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.84%E -3.93%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 40.62%EV -9.25%E -4.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -9.31%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.87%E -4.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -2.34%E -0.668%K -0.935%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -11.68%E -5.36%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86%2.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 24.89%1.04I 96.15%NM 57.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 17.21%66.0%2026-03-07 15:00