Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 48.05%2.08fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.82%48.06%48.03%49.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.911.9854.64%52.43%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -0.936%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.91%24.74%24.76%25.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.753.9328.57%26.61%26.67%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%27.21%27.20%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.453.5033.33%29.39%28.99%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 48.05%; Crawley Town (Visit): 24.75%; Draw: 27.21%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.93, with an expected value of -2.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.37%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.25%EV -2.74%E -0.698%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -5.83%E -2.97%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV -3.24%E -0.828%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -6.45%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -8.04%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -4.04%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -10.15%E -5.43%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -10.63%E -5.72%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -11.59%E -6.30%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -11.59%E -6.30%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -12.07%E -6.60%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |