A Escola das Odds

Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town

Início: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Previsão 48.05%2.08odd justa
EV -4.87%
Vantagem -2.46%
Kelly -4.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.82%48.06%48.03%49.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9854.64%52.43%52.36%50.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Previsão 24.75%4.04odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -0.698%
Kelly -0.936%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.91%24.74%24.76%25.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.763.753.9328.57%26.61%26.67%25.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.21%3.68odd justa
EV -4.78%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.19%27.21%27.20%29.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.403.453.5033.33%29.39%28.99%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:14
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:19
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:19
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.37%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.25%EV -2.74%E -0.698%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:04
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -5.83%E -2.97%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV -3.24%E -0.828%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:19
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:24
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:04
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:04
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -6.45%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -8.04%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -4.04%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:05
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:04
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:04
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:35
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -10.15%E -5.43%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -10.63%E -5.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:29
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -11.59%E -6.30%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:30
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -11.59%E -6.30%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:30
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -12.07%E -6.60%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 10:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%2.7%2026-04-11 11:25