L’École des cotes

Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prévision 48.05%2.08cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -4.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.82%48.06%48.03%49.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.911.911.9854.64%52.43%52.36%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -0.936%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.91%24.74%24.76%25.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.753.9328.57%26.61%26.67%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.21%3.68cote équitable
EV -4.78%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%27.21%27.20%29.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.453.5033.33%29.39%28.99%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:14
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:19
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:19
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.37%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.25%EV -2.74%E -0.698%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.35%E -2.71%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:04
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -5.83%E -2.97%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV -3.24%E -0.828%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:19
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:24
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:04
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:04
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -6.45%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -8.04%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -4.04%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:05
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.86%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:04
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:04
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:35
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.71%E -4.58%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -10.15%E -5.43%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -10.63%E -5.72%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:30
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.11%E -6.01%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:29
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -11.59%E -6.30%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:30
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -11.59%E -6.30%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:30
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -12.07%E -6.60%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-11 11:25
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%2.7%2026-04-11 11:25