Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 4.10
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 50.22%; Colchester United (Visit): 24.45%; Draw: 25.33%. For Colchester United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.231%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +0.231%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -12.11%E -6.92%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 17:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -11.11%E -6.27%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -8.59%E -4.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.02%EV -11.61%E -6.60%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.34%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -7.80%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -8.59%E -4.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -5.77%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.61%E -7.25%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.61%E -7.25%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 17:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -11.11%E -6.27%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |