Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol Rovers v Colchester United

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prediction 49.88%2.00fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%49.70%49.93%50.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.55%53.62%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colchester United (Visit)

Prediction 24.11%4.15fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.17%24.09%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.793.804.0027.78%26.37%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.13%25.97%27.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.503.7030.30%28.32%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bristol Rovers (Local): 49.88%; Colchester United (Visit): 24.11%; Draw: 26.02%. For Bristol Rovers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.95, with an expected value of -2.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 19:05
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -4.24%E -2.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.74%E -2.48%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.74%E -2.48%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 19:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.74%E -2.48%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.74%E -2.48%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 19:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.74%E -2.48%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.23%E -3.32%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.23%E -3.32%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 19:03
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -7.23%E -3.89%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.02%EV -6.85%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.74%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.58%E -0.894%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 19:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -8.23%E -4.47%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.85%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 19:05
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 19:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 19:05
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.22%E -5.68%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.22%E -5.68%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.22%E -5.68%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -10.22%E -5.68%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 48.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%16.2%2026-08-29 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 32.22%1.73I 57.80%NM 33.89%1.73I 57.80%NM 33.89%70.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 32.22%1.73I 57.80%NM 33.89%1.73I 57.80%NM 33.89%70.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 32.22%1.73I 57.80%NM 33.89%1.73I 57.80%NM 33.89%70.6%2026-08-29 18:50