Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol Rovers v Colchester United

Início: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Bristol Rovers 2–0 Colchester United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Previsão 50.22%1.99odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -4.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.16%50.31%50.19%52.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.831.831.9157.47%54.51%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Colchester United (Visitante)

Previsão 24.45%4.09odd justa
EV +0.231%
Vantagem +0.056%
Kelly +0.074%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.80%24.34%24.44%25.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.843.854.1027.78%26.02%25.97%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.33%3.95odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -0.985%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.26%25.35%25.36%26.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.633.653.8029.41%27.55%27.40%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bristol Rovers (Local): 50.22%; Colchester United (Visitante): 24.45%; Empate: 25.33%. Para Colchester United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.09. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.231%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +0.231%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:34
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -12.11%E -6.92%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 17:13
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -11.11%E -6.27%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -8.59%E -4.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.02%EV -11.61%E -6.60%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 17:34
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.34%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -7.80%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -8.59%E -4.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -5.77%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:03
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.61%E -7.25%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.61%E -7.25%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 17:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 15:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:33
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -11.11%E -6.27%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 16:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 15:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-09-01 18:40