Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers v Colchester United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Bristol Rovers 2–0 Colchester United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prévision 50.22%1.99cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -4.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.16%50.31%50.19%52.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.831.831.9157.47%54.51%54.64%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Colchester United (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.45%4.09cote équitable
EV +0.231%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%24.34%24.44%25.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.843.854.1027.78%26.02%25.97%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.26%25.35%25.36%26.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.653.8029.41%27.55%27.40%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bristol Rovers (Local) : 50.22% ; Colchester United (Visiteur) : 24.45% ; Match nul : 25.33%. Pour Colchester United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.09. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.231%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +0.231%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:34
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -12.11%E -6.92%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 17:13
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -11.11%E -6.27%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -8.59%E -4.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.02%EV -11.61%E -6.60%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 17:34
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.34%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -7.80%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -8.59%E -4.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.13%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -5.77%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:03
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.61%E -7.25%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.61%E -7.25%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 17:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 15:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:33
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -11.11%E -6.27%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.77%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 16:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 15:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-09-01 18:40