Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Accrington Stanley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 52.32%1.91fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.69%52.17%52.28%53.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.04%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Accrington Stanley (Visit)
Prediction 21.26%4.70fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%21.36%21.41%23.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.244.304.6325.64%23.59%23.26%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.42%3.79fair odd
EV +0.393%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.140%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.47%26.31%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.503.8032.26%28.89%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 52.32%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 21.26%; Draw: 26.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.393%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV +0.393%E +0.104%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -1.56%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.23%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.19%E -0.477%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.40%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.76%EV -5.15%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.40%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.76%EV -5.15%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-25 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-25 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -7.51%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.63%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 20.75%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -5.82%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -5.82%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -10.54%E -6.16%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 12:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.83%E -3.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 08:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-26 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.30%EV -11.06%E -6.50%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.49%E -5.48%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -18.10%E -5.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |