Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers v Accrington Stanley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prévision 52.32%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.69%52.17%52.28%53.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.04%56.18%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.26%4.70cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.429%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.38%21.36%21.41%23.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.244.304.6325.64%23.59%23.26%21.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.42%3.79cote équitable
EV +0.393%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.140%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.47%26.31%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.8032.26%28.89%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bristol Rovers (Local) : 52.32% ; Accrington Stanley (Visiteur) : 21.26% ; Match nul : 26.42%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.79. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.393%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV +0.393%E +0.104%K +0.140%G +0.001%6.2%2026-03-27 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -1.56%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.23%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 11:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.19%E -0.477%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 13:04
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 11:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.40%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.76%EV -5.15%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.40%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.76%EV -5.15%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 03:05
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 22:10
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -7.51%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 13:04
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.63%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.75%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-28 02:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 20:04
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 22:39
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -5.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -5.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 17:44
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -10.54%E -6.16%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 13:04
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 13:05
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 12:24
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.83%E -3.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 17:44
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 08:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-26 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-26 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-26 14:35
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.30%EV -11.06%E -6.50%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 23:44
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 13:35
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.49%E -5.48%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -18.10%E -5.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-27 13:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%2.2%2026-03-28 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%2.2%2026-03-28 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%2.2%2026-03-28 02:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%3.0%2026-03-28 02:25