La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bristol Rovers v Accrington Stanley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Predicción 52.32%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.69%52.17%52.28%53.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.04%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Accrington Stanley (Visitante)
Predicción 21.26%4.70momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.429%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.38%21.36%21.41%23.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.244.304.6325.64%23.59%23.26%21.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.42%3.79momio equitativo
EV +0.393%
Ventaja +0.104%
Kelly +0.140%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.47%26.31%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.503.8032.26%28.89%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV +0.393%E +0.104%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -1.56%E -0.336%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.23%EV -4.10%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.19%E -0.477%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.40%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.76%EV -5.15%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.40%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.76%EV -5.15%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-25 22:10 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-25 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -7.51%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.63%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 20.75%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -5.82%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.01%E -5.82%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 17:44 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -10.54%E -6.16%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 13:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 12:24 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -16.02%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -6.87%E -3.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.83%E -3.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 08:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-26 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-26 14:35 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.30%EV -11.06%E -6.50%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.45%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -9.49%E -5.48%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -18.10%E -5.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |