Language:English
Barrow v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barrow (Local)
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.389%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.44%27.44%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.383.6031.25%29.62%29.63%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.67%44.21%44.21%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.082.082.1852.36%47.96%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.33%3.53fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%28.34%28.35%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.4033.33%30.56%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barrow (Local): 27.50%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 44.17%; Draw: 28.33%. For Barrow (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.01%E -0.281%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.01%E -0.281%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 04:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -4.31%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.37%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.22%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 04:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -5.96%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.33%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -7.63%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -15.64%E -8.19%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.00%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |