L’École des cotes

Barrow v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barrow (Local)

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.281%
Kelly -0.389%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%27.44%27.44%28.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.383.6031.25%29.62%29.63%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.17%2.26cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.67%44.21%44.21%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.082.082.1852.36%47.96%48.08%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.33%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.24%28.34%28.35%29.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.4033.33%30.56%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.01%E -0.281%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.01%E -0.281%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:25
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:50
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 04:09
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 04:05
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:25
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:24
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -4.31%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.37%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.22%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 04:10
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 04:05
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -5.96%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:49
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.33%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -7.63%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:50
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -15.64%E -8.19%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.00%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 13:15
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:49
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:50
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:34
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 11:10
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 11:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 11:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:50
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-04-06 13:50