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Barrow v Chesterfield FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Barrow (Local)
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.281%
Kelly -0.389%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%27.44%27.44%28.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.383.6031.25%29.62%29.63%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chesterfield FC (Visitante)
Predicción 44.17%2.26momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.67%44.21%44.21%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.082.082.1852.36%47.96%48.08%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.24%28.34%28.35%29.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.303.4033.33%30.56%30.30%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Barrow (Local): 27.50%; Chesterfield FC (Visitante): 44.17%; Empate: 28.33%. Para Barrow (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.64. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -1.01%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.01%E -0.281%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.01%E -0.281%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 04:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -4.31%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.37%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.22%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 04:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -5.96%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.33%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -7.63%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -15.64%E -8.19%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.00%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.89%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.13%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |