Language:English
Barnet v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnet (Local)
Prediction 69.05%1.45fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -8.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.12%68.96%69.07%70.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.341.4076.92%74.32%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 11.74%8.52fair odd
EV -0.219%
Edge -0.026%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.95%11.80%11.72%13.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.778.008.5014.29%12.86%12.50%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.22%5.20fair odd
EV -0.272%
Edge -0.052%
Kelly -0.065%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.33%19.25%19.21%20.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.784.755.1923.81%20.94%21.05%19.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnet (Local): 69.05%; Newport County (Visit): 11.74%; Draw: 19.22%. For Newport County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 8.50, with an expected value of -0.219%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.34%E -2.38%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.34%E -2.38%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV -9.02%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV -9.02%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -11.37%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -8.15%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.93%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.74%EV -4.91%E -0.607%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.33%EV -0.272%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.98%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -14.89%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.53%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 14:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.71%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -6.81%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.37%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -13.13%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -8.44%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.84%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.55%E -7.29%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -19.30%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.15% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.67% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |