La escuela de los momios

Barnet v Newport County

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnet (Local)

Predicción 69.05%1.45momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -8.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.12%68.96%69.07%70.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.341.4076.92%74.32%74.63%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Newport County (Visitante)

Predicción 11.74%8.52momio equitativo
EV -0.219%
Ventaja -0.026%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.95%11.80%11.72%13.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.007.778.008.5014.29%12.86%12.50%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.22%5.20momio equitativo
EV -0.272%
Ventaja -0.052%
Kelly -0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.33%19.25%19.21%20.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.784.755.1923.81%20.94%21.05%19.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.34%E -2.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.34%E -2.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV -9.02%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV -9.02%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -11.37%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -8.15%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 69.93%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.74%EV -4.91%E -0.607%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.33%EV -0.272%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 67.98%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -14.89%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.53%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:50
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 12:50
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:19
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:50
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:48
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:50
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:50
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:00
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.71%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -6.81%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:50
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.37%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -13.13%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -8.44%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.84%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 14:05
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 14:04
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.55%E -7.29%K -30.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:50
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -19.30%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.15%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.67%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-03-14 14:55