L’École des cotes

Barnet v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barnet (Local)

Prévision 69.05%1.45cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -8.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.12%68.96%69.07%70.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.341.4076.92%74.32%74.63%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.74%8.52cote équitable
EV -0.219%
Avantage -0.026%
Kelly -0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.95%11.80%11.72%13.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.007.778.008.5014.29%12.86%12.50%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.22%5.20cote équitable
EV -0.272%
Avantage -0.052%
Kelly -0.065%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.33%19.25%19.21%20.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.784.755.1923.81%20.94%21.05%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.34%E -2.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.34%E -2.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV -9.02%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.03%E -2.90%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV -9.02%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -11.37%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -8.15%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 69.93%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.74%EV -4.91%E -0.607%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.33%EV -0.272%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 67.98%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -14.89%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.53%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:50
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.83%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 12:50
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.79%E -5.03%K -19.40%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.22%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:19
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:50
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:05
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 14:04
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:48
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -22.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.219%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:50
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:50
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.92%E -0.785%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:00
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.71%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -2.57%E -0.309%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -6.81%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:50
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.37%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.29%EV -13.13%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:05
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.61%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -8.44%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.84%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 14:05
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.69%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 14:04
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.55%E -7.29%K -30.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -7.77%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:50
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -6.09%E -0.761%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -8.73%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.24%E -7.88%K -34.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -11.96%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -19.30%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.15%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.67%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-03-14 14:55