Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet v Fleetwood Town

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnet 3–1 Fleetwood Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet (Local)

Prediction 56.46%1.77fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.77%56.34%56.53%57.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.641.7362.89%60.73%60.98%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fleetwood Town (Visit)

Prediction 20.12%4.97fair odd
EV +0.583%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.07%20.20%20.08%21.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.554.505.0023.26%21.98%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.505%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%23.46%23.39%24.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.66%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnet (Local): 56.46%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 20.12%; Draw: 23.42%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.583%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV +0.583%E +0.117%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 04:35
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.31%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.58%EV -2.84%E -0.587%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.12%EV -4.19%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 04:58
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 05:00
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 04:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 04:33
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 04:58
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.15%E -3.06%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 04:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 04:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.81%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:34
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.52%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.02%EV -6.86%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:18
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.96%E -0.966%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -5.15%E -3.06%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -1.62%E -0.385%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 04:34
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 04:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 11:40
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -10.23%E -6.43%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 04:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -2.33%E -1.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 04:09
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:21
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:22
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.33%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.84%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.89%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:09
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.89%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.01%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.50%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 15:05