La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Barnet v Fleetwood Town

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnet 3–1 Fleetwood Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnet (Local)

Predicción 56.46%1.77momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.77%56.34%56.53%57.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.591.651.641.7362.89%60.73%60.98%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Predicción 20.12%4.97momio equitativo
EV +0.583%
Ventaja +0.117%
Kelly +0.146%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.07%20.20%20.08%21.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.554.505.0023.26%21.98%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.42%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.505%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.09%23.46%23.39%24.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.66%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Barnet (Local): 56.46%; Fleetwood Town (Visitante): 20.12%; Empate: 23.42%. Para Fleetwood Town (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.97. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.583%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV +0.583%E +0.117%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 04:35
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.31%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.58%EV -2.84%E -0.587%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.12%EV -4.19%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 04:58
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 05:00
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 04:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 04:33
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 04:58
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.15%E -3.06%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 04:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 04:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.81%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:34
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.52%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.02%EV -6.86%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:18
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.96%E -0.966%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -5.15%E -3.06%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -1.62%E -0.385%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 04:34
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 04:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 11:40
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -10.23%E -6.43%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 04:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -2.33%E -1.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 04:09
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:21
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:22
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.33%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.84%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.89%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:09
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.89%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.01%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.50%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 21:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 15:05