L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Barnet v Fleetwood Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Barnet 3–1 Fleetwood Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnet (Local)

Prévision 56.46%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -3.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.77%56.34%56.53%57.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.591.651.641.7362.89%60.73%60.98%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fleetwood Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.12%4.97cote équitable
EV +0.583%
Avantage +0.117%
Kelly +0.146%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.07%20.20%20.08%21.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.554.505.0023.26%21.98%22.22%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.505%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.09%23.46%23.39%24.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.66%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnet (Local) : 56.46% ; Fleetwood Town (Visiteur) : 20.12% ; Match nul : 23.42%. Pour Fleetwood Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.97. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +0.583%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV +0.583%E +0.117%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 04:35
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.31%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.58%EV -2.84%E -0.587%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.12%EV -4.19%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 04:58
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 05:00
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 04:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 04:33
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 04:58
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -4.45%E -0.936%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.15%E -3.06%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 04:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 04:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.45%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.81%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -6.46%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:34
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.52%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.02%EV -6.86%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:18
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.96%E -0.966%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -5.15%E -3.06%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -1.62%E -0.385%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 04:34
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 04:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 11:40
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 07:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -10.23%E -6.43%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.48%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 04:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -2.33%E -1.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 04:09
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 12:21
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:22
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -5.71%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -11.49%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.33%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.84%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.89%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 04:09
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.89%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.30%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.01%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.50%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 21:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-09-18 15:05