Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 38.46%2.60fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.93%38.61%38.25%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.382.402.5343.86%42.05%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 32.07%3.12fair odd
EV +0.069%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%31.87%32.38%33.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1237.04%34.21%34.48%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.47%3.39fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%29.51%29.37%30.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.133.103.3033.33%31.93%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 38.46%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 32.07%; Draw: 29.47%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.118. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.120, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.069%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV +0.069%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.03%EV -3.47%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.69%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.76%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -10.78%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.76%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.48%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -8.85%E -3.74%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -8.91%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -7.47%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.55%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.55%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.93%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -10.84%E -3.90%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.47%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.06% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |