A Escola das Odds

Accrington Stanley v Shrewsbury Town

Início: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Previsão 38.46%2.60odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.93%38.61%38.25%40.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.282.382.402.5343.86%42.05%41.67%39.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Previsão 32.07%3.12odd justa
EV +0.069%
Vantagem +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.02%31.87%32.38%33.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.922.903.1237.04%34.21%34.48%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.47%3.39odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -0.835%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.31%29.51%29.37%30.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.133.103.3033.33%31.93%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV +0.069%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:53
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.03%EV -3.47%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.69%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.76%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -10.78%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.76%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.48%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -8.85%E -3.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:45
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:35
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -8.91%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -7.47%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.55%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.55%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:50
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.93%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -10.84%E -3.90%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.47%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%3.5%2026-02-21 14:55