La escuela de los momios

Accrington Stanley v Shrewsbury Town

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Predicción 38.46%2.60momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.93%38.61%38.25%40.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.382.402.5343.86%42.05%41.67%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Predicción 32.07%3.12momio equitativo
EV +0.069%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%31.87%32.38%33.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.903.1237.04%34.21%34.48%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.47%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%29.51%29.37%30.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.133.103.3033.33%31.93%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV +0.069%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:53
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -2.18%E -0.714%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -12.31%E -5.40%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.03%EV -3.47%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.69%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.76%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -10.78%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.76%E -0.835%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.48%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -8.85%E -3.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:45
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:35
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -8.91%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -7.47%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:55
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.55%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -4.62%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.55%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:50
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.93%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -10.84%E -3.90%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.47%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%3.5%2026-02-21 14:55