Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 45.95%2.18fair odd
EV -0.755%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%45.89%45.94%47.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.042.1651.28%48.83%49.02%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%27.06%27.00%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.403.5731.75%29.54%29.41%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV +2.70%
Edge +0.711%
Kelly +0.965%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%27.05%27.06%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.8032.26%29.49%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 45.95%; Newport County (Visit): 27.03%; Draw: 27.03%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV +2.70%E +0.711%K +0.965%G +0.026% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 14:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 13:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.73%E -3.31%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 10:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 12:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -9.94%E -5.07%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.26%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.56%EV -3.52%E -0.985%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.17%EV -5.68%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.19%E -3.56%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 13:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 07:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.49%E -4.81%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.64%EV -6.73%E -3.31%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.19%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -7.65%E -3.80%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.77%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 04:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -8.57%E -4.30%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-16 07:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -4.43%E -2.13%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.52%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -14.87%E -4.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -2.13%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -14.87%E -4.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.22%E -5.23%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94% | 2.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |