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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Accrington Stanley v Newport County

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Accrington Stanley 0–0 Newport County

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Previsão 45.95%2.18odd justa
EV -0.755%
Vantagem -0.350%
Kelly -0.651%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.89%45.89%45.94%47.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.042.1651.28%48.83%49.02%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Newport County (Visitante)

Previsão 27.03%3.70odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -0.985%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.06%27.06%27.00%28.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.393.403.5731.75%29.54%29.41%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.03%3.70odd justa
EV +2.70%
Vantagem +0.711%
Kelly +0.965%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.39%27.05%27.06%28.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.403.8032.26%29.49%29.41%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Accrington Stanley (Local): 45.95%; Newport County (Visitante): 27.03%; Empate: 27.03%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.70%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV +2.70%E +0.711%K +0.965%G +0.026%7.9%2026-09-18 14:04
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:21
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 14:02
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 04:09
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:39
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 13:06
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 04:09
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.73%E -3.31%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 10:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -9.94%E -5.07%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 10:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.26%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.56%EV -3.52%E -0.985%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.17%EV -5.68%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.19%E -3.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.49%E -4.81%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 08:05
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.64%EV -6.73%E -3.31%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.19%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -7.65%E -3.80%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.77%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 15:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 04:13
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -8.57%E -4.30%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-16 07:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:45
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:06
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -4.43%E -2.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.52%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -14.87%E -4.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -2.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -14.87%E -4.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.22%E -5.23%K -7.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94%2.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%3.9%2026-09-18 15:30