L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Accrington Stanley v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Accrington Stanley 0–0 Newport County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 45.95%2.18cote équitable
EV -0.755%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.651%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%45.89%45.94%47.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.042.1651.28%48.83%49.02%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.03%3.70cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.06%27.06%27.00%28.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.393.403.5731.75%29.54%29.41%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.03%3.70cote équitable
EV +2.70%
Avantage +0.711%
Kelly +0.965%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%27.05%27.06%28.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.8032.26%29.49%29.41%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Accrington Stanley (Local) : 45.95% ; Newport County (Visiteur) : 27.03% ; Match nul : 27.03%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.70. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +2.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV +2.70%E +0.711%K +0.965%G +0.026%7.9%2026-09-18 14:04
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:21
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 14:02
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 04:09
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:39
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 13:06
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 04:09
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.73%E -3.31%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 10:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -9.94%E -5.07%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 10:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.26%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.56%EV -3.52%E -0.985%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.17%EV -5.68%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.19%E -3.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.49%E -4.81%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.40%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 08:05
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.64%EV -6.73%E -3.31%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.19%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -7.65%E -3.80%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.77%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 15:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 04:13
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -8.57%E -4.30%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-16 07:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:09
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:45
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:06
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -0.755%E -0.350%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -4.43%E -2.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.52%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -14.87%E -4.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -2.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -14.87%E -4.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.22%E -5.23%K -7.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94%2.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%3.9%2026-09-18 15:30