Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Crewe Alexandra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -0.829%
Edge -0.215%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.75%25.78%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.603.8529.41%28.10%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visit)
Prediction 47.51%2.10fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%47.50%47.41%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.0254.64%51.00%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.415%
Kelly +0.563%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%26.75%26.81%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.403.8033.33%29.24%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 25.76%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 47.51%; Draw: 26.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -11.15%E -5.97%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV +1.58%E +0.415%K +0.563%G +0.009% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.829%E -0.215%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.829%E -0.215%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.34%E -0.351%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.03%EV -7.83%E -4.04%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -2.70%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.41%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.78%E -4.57%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.78%E -4.57%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.73%E -5.12%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -11.63%E -6.25%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -11.15%E -5.97%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.04%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -12.10%E -6.54%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.12%E -0.557%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.13%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -6.40%E -3.25%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.68%E -5.68%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.06%E -7.13%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |