Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Accrington Stanley v Crewe Alexandra

Początek: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Accrington Stanley (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 25.76%3.88kurs godziwy
EV -0.829%
Przewaga -0.215%
Kelly -0.291%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.51%25.75%25.78%26.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.563.603.8529.41%28.10%27.78%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Crewe Alexandra (Goście)

Prognoza 47.51%2.10kurs godziwy
EV -4.03%
Przewaga -1.99%
Kelly -3.95%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.33%47.50%47.41%49.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.831.961.952.0254.64%51.00%51.28%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.73%3.74kurs godziwy
EV +1.58%
Przewaga +0.415%
Kelly +0.563%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.46%26.75%26.81%28.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.423.403.8033.33%29.24%29.41%26.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Accrington Stanley (Gospodarze): 25.76%; Crewe Alexandra (Goście): 47.51%; Remis: 26.73%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.74. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.58%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -11.15%E -5.97%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV +1.58%E +0.415%K +0.563%G +0.009%7.6%2026-04-03 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.829%E -0.215%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.829%E -0.215%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
Pinnacle🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.34%E -0.351%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.03%EV -7.83%E -4.04%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -2.70%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.41%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:35
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.78%E -4.57%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.78%E -4.57%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:34
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:34
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:54
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:35
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.73%E -5.12%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -11.63%E -6.25%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:55
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -11.15%E -5.97%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.04%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -12.10%E -6.54%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:40
1xBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.12%E -0.557%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:50
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.13%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -6.40%E -3.25%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:34
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.68%E -5.68%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.06%E -7.13%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-03 13:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%1.9%2026-04-03 13:55