La escuela de los momios

Accrington Stanley v Crewe Alexandra

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Predicción 25.76%3.88momio equitativo
EV -0.829%
Ventaja -0.215%
Kelly -0.291%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.75%25.78%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.563.603.8529.41%28.10%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Predicción 47.51%2.10momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -3.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.33%47.50%47.41%49.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.0254.64%51.00%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.415%
Kelly +0.563%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%26.75%26.81%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.403.8033.33%29.24%29.41%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -11.15%E -5.97%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV +1.58%E +0.415%K +0.563%G +0.009%7.6%2026-04-03 13:55
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.829%E -0.215%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.829%E -0.215%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
Pinnacle3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.34%E -0.351%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.03%EV -7.83%E -4.04%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -2.70%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.41%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:35
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.78%E -4.57%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.78%E -4.57%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:34
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:34
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:54
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:35
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:34
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.73%E -5.12%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:40
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -11.63%E -6.25%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:55
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -11.15%E -5.97%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.93%E -2.99%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Marathon Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.04%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -12.10%E -6.54%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:40
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.12%E -0.557%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:50
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.13%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -6.40%E -3.25%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:34
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.25%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.68%E -5.68%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -4.03%E -1.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:54
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:50
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:49
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:54
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.35%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.06%E -7.13%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-03 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%1.9%2026-04-03 13:55