Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 29.56%3.38fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.59%29.57%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.103.3033.33%32.33%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%42.18%42.17%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.58%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.24%3.54fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.23%28.26%28.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.243.4032.26%30.69%30.86%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 29.56%; Crawley Town (Visit): 42.20%; Draw: 28.24%. For Accrington Stanley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.05%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.18%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.99%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.72%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 12:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 09:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 09:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |