L’École des cotes

Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 29.56%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.740%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%29.59%29.57%31.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.093.103.3033.33%32.33%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.20%2.37cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.93%42.18%42.17%43.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.58%45.87%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.24%3.54cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.23%28.26%28.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.263.243.4032.26%30.69%30.86%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:10
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:05
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.05%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.18%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 09:34
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 28.99%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.72%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 12:24
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:19
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 09:29
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 09:29
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:14
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:15
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 10:19
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:55
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:50
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:50
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:05
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 09:39
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 10:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:05
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:04
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:15
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:15
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:14
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 04:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 09:34
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 13:10
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 13:15
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 04:15
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 04:14
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 04:15
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 09:28
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 09:29
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 09:29
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 09:29
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:04
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:34
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 10:49
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 10:20
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 09:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%3.1%2026-04-24 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%5.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%5.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%5.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%6.9%2026-04-24 02:10