La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Predicción 29.56%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.59%29.57%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.093.103.3033.33%32.33%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Crawley Town (Visitante)
Predicción 42.20%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%42.18%42.17%43.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.58%45.87%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.24%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.23%28.26%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.263.243.4032.26%30.69%30.86%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.05%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.18%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| 1xBet | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.99%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.72%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 12:24 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:19 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 09:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 09:29 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 09:34 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 09:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |