Language:English
Accrington Stanley v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 23.64%4.23fair odd
EV -0.696%
Edge -0.166%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.37%23.68%23.58%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.853.904.2028.17%25.99%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 50.21%1.99fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.41%50.14%50.24%51.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9455.56%53.63%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV -0.642%
Edge -0.169%
Kelly -0.229%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.17%26.18%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.483.503.8032.26%28.71%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 23.64%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 50.21%; Draw: 26.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.642%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.68%EV -2.59%E -0.628%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.96%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.642%E -0.169%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.642%E -0.169%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.26%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.45%EV -2.21%E -0.591%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.35%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.35%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -18.94%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -2.59%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.89% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |