La escuela de los momios

Accrington Stanley v Chesterfield FC

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Predicción 23.64%4.23momio equitativo
EV -0.696%
Ventaja -0.166%
Kelly -0.218%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.37%23.68%23.58%25.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.853.904.2028.17%25.99%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Predicción 50.21%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.41%50.14%50.24%51.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.861.851.9455.56%53.63%54.05%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.642%
Ventaja -0.169%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.17%26.18%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.8032.26%28.71%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:24
1xBet4.12I 24.27%NM 22.68%EV -2.59%E -0.628%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.96%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.642%E -0.169%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.642%E -0.169%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:24
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.26%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:24
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:44
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:44
Pinnacle3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.45%EV -2.21%E -0.591%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:45
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:20
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:53
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:45
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:55
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Marathon Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.35%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.35%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:29
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:34
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:44
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -18.94%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -2.59%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 11:00
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 11:00
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 11:00
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91%0.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-03-21 14:44