L’École des cotes

Accrington Stanley v Chesterfield FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 23.64%4.23cote équitable
EV -0.696%
Avantage -0.166%
Kelly -0.218%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.37%23.68%23.58%25.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.853.904.2028.17%25.99%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chesterfield FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.21%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.41%50.14%50.24%51.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.861.851.9455.56%53.63%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.15%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.642%
Avantage -0.169%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.17%26.18%28.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.8032.26%28.71%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.696%E -0.166%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:24
1xBet4.12I 24.27%NM 22.68%EV -2.59%E -0.628%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -7.96%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.642%E -0.169%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.642%E -0.169%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.06%E -0.747%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:24
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.26%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:24
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:44
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:44
Pinnacle3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.45%EV -2.21%E -0.591%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:45
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:20
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:53
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:45
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:55
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Marathon Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.35%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.35%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -8.97%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:29
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.709%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:34
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:44
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -18.94%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -2.59%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 11:00
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -14.88%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 11:00
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 11:00
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -16.06%E -4.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.20%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91%0.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-03-21 14:44