Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers v Port Vale

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 59.67%1.68fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.90%59.61%59.62%61.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.25%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Vale (Visit)

Prediction 16.93%5.91fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.315%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.38%16.97%16.97%18.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.465.506.0020.00%18.33%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.91%23.42%23.41%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.923.904.2228.57%25.50%25.64%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 59.67%; Port Vale (Visit): 16.93%; Draw: 23.40%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.57%E +0.262%K +0.315%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:40
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +1.57%E +0.262%K +0.315%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 21:39
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -0.120%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -0.120%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.66%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.05%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.66%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.71%EV -3.00%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -1.24%E -0.294%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.51%E -0.615%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.30%E -6.12%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -3.51%E -0.615%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 21:15
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.07%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.79%EV -5.54%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 20:25
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 22:34
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.05%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 12:34
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:32
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:34
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:04
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.71%E -0.407%K -0.534%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-25 19:39
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 18:05
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-27 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.04%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -7.74%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.04%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -7.74%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 15:59
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 22:30
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:36
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.28%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.28%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 08:59
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -11.12%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 03:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-24 14:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 09:59
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 15:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%2.4%2026-03-27 22:35