L’École des cotes

Wycombe Wanderers v Port Vale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 59.67%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -7.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.90%59.61%59.62%61.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.25%64.10%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.93%5.91cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.262%
Kelly +0.315%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.38%16.97%16.97%18.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.465.506.0020.00%18.33%18.18%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.40%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.294%
Kelly -0.386%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.91%23.42%23.41%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.904.2228.57%25.50%25.64%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.57%E +0.262%K +0.315%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +1.57%E +0.262%K +0.315%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 21:39
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -0.120%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:40
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -0.120%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:40
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.66%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.05%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:25
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.66%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.71%EV -3.00%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -1.24%E -0.294%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.51%E -0.615%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 20:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.30%E -6.12%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -3.51%E -0.615%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 21:15
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.07%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.79%EV -5.54%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 20:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 22:34
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.05%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 15:30
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 14:39
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 12:34
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:32
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:34
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:04
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 18:05
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.71%E -0.407%K -0.534%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 21:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-25 19:39
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 18:05
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-27 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.04%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -7.74%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 15:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.04%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -7.74%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 15:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 22:30
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:09
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:36
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:35
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.28%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.28%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 08:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -11.12%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 03:10
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-24 14:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 09:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:45
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%2.4%2026-03-27 22:35