La escuela de los momios

Wycombe Wanderers v Port Vale

Inicio: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 59.67%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.53%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -7.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.90%59.61%59.62%61.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.25%64.10%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Port Vale (Visitante)

Predicción 16.93%5.91momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.262%
Kelly +0.315%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.38%16.97%16.97%18.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.465.506.0020.00%18.33%18.18%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.40%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.386%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.91%23.42%23.41%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.923.904.2228.57%25.50%25.64%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.57%E +0.262%K +0.315%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 21:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +1.57%E +0.262%K +0.315%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 21:39
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -0.120%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:40
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -0.120%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:40
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.66%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.05%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:25
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.66%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.71%EV -3.00%E -0.523%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -1.24%E -0.294%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.51%E -0.615%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 20:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.30%E -6.12%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -3.51%E -0.615%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 21:15
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.07%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.79%EV -5.54%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 20:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 22:34
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.05%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 15:30
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 14:39
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 12:34
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:32
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:34
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:04
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 18:05
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.71%E -0.407%K -0.534%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 21:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-25 19:39
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 18:05
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-27 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.04%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -7.74%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 15:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.04%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -7.74%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 15:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 22:30
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.72%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:09
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -6.92%E -4.43%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:36
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.58%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 22:35
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.28%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.28%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 08:59
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -11.12%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 03:10
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-24 14:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 09:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-25 19:45
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.51%E -4.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -10.50%E -7.00%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -15.36%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 15:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 22:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%2.4%2026-03-27 22:35