Language:English
Wimbledon v Wigan Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wimbledon (Local)
Prediction 32.54%3.07fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.371%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.54%32.48%32.52%33.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.883.0536.36%34.68%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wigan Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 38.92%2.57fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.52%38.96%38.99%40.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.372.372.5244.84%42.13%42.19%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.56%28.50%29.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.223.253.4032.26%31.01%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 32.54%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 38.92%; Draw: 28.54%. For Wimbledon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -0.760%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.31%E -4.00%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 12:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.03%E -2.06%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.03%E -2.06%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.87%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%EV -1.91%E -0.760%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.92%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.29%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.29%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.10%EV -8.10%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 12:55 |