Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon v Wigan Athletic

Início: 2026-08-30 13:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon (Local)

Previsão 32.54%3.07odd justa
EV -0.760%
Vantagem -0.249%
Kelly -0.371%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.54%32.48%32.52%33.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.882.883.0536.36%34.68%34.72%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wigan Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 38.92%2.57odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -0.760%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.52%38.96%38.99%40.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.372.372.5244.84%42.13%42.19%39.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.54%3.50odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -0.872%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.68%28.56%28.50%29.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.223.253.4032.26%31.01%30.77%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wimbledon (Local): 32.54%; Wigan Athletic (Visitante): 38.92%; Empate: 28.54%. Para Wimbledon (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.07. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.05, com valor esperado de -0.760%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:55
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:55
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.760%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.31%E -4.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.03%E -2.06%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.03%E -2.06%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 12:05
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.87%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%EV -1.91%E -0.760%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.92%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:40
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 12:35
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -5.64%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.29%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:40
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.29%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:54
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.10%EV -8.10%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 12:40
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 12:50
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 12:50
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 12:40
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 12:40
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 12:50
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 12:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:55
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 12:55
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 12:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-08-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-08-30 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-08-30 12:55
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-08-30 12:55
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-08-30 12:55