Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.03
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 24.97%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 49.32%; Draw: 25.71%. For Wimbledon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.636%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.79%EV +0.636%E +0.158%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -2.30%E -0.606%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.11%E -0.538%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.96%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -7.96%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.19%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.19%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.59%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 08:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-15 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -17.73%E -5.54%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |