Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon v Stockport County FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 18:45 UTC

Score final : Wimbledon 0–2 Stockport County FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prévision 24.97%4.00cote équitable
EV +0.636%
Avantage +0.158%
Kelly +0.210%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.79%24.92%25.00%26.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.754.0328.57%26.78%26.67%24.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stockport County FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.32%2.03cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.27%49.29%49.22%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.901.9855.56%52.95%52.63%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.71%3.89cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.606%
Kelly -0.822%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.82%25.79%25.77%27.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.533.503.8031.25%28.32%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wimbledon (Local) : 24.97% ; Stockport County FC (Visiteur) : 49.32% ; Match nul : 25.71%. Pour Wimbledon (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.00. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.03, soit une espérance positive de +0.636%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.79%EV +0.636%E +0.158%K +0.210%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -2.30%E -0.606%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 18:01
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.11%E -0.538%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.96%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:59
1xBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -7.96%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 18:00
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 18:01
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:00
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 16:00
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:01
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 17:59
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 18:00
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 18:00
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 14:00
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 18:00
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 18:00
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 18:00
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 18:00
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 13:59
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 18:00
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.19%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.19%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 18:00
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.59%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 14:00
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 17:30
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 14:00
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-15 10:00
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-15 18:00
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -17.73%E -5.54%K -8.06%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-15 17:30
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 14:00
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-15 18:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-04-15 18:00