La escuela de los momios

Wimbledon v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-04-15 18:45 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 0–2 Stockport County FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Predicción 24.97%4.00momio equitativo
EV +0.636%
Ventaja +0.158%
Kelly +0.210%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.79%24.92%25.00%26.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.733.754.0328.57%26.78%26.67%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 49.32%2.03momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.27%49.29%49.22%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.901.9855.56%52.95%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.71%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.606%
Kelly -0.822%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.82%25.79%25.77%27.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.533.503.8031.25%28.32%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.03I 24.81%NM 23.79%EV +0.636%E +0.158%K +0.210%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -2.30%E -0.606%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 18:01
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.11%E -0.538%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.96%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:59
1xBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -7.96%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 18:00
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 18:01
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:00
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 16:00
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:01
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 17:59
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 18:00
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 18:00
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 18:00
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 14:00
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 18:00
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 18:00
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 18:00
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 18:00
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 18:00
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 18:00
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.36%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 13:59
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 18:00
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.19%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.60%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.19%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 18:00
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.59%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:15
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 14:00
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 17:30
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 14:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-15 10:00
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-15 18:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -17.73%E -5.54%K -8.06%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-15 17:30
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 14:00
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-15 18:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-15 18:01
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-04-15 18:00