Language:English
Wimbledon v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wimbledon (Local)
Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.85%47.83%47.87%49.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0054.64%51.50%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -0.538%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.179%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%24.83%24.88%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.87%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.31%3.66fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.643%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%27.34%27.25%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.70%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 47.82%; Northampton Town (Visit): 24.87%; Draw: 27.31%. For Northampton Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.538%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -3.27%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.31%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.60%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 11:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -9.99%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.99%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -9.99%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.99%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.538%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 09:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 09:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 11:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.23%E -3.73%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.23%E -3.73%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -4.52%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 11:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 06:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 06:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 11:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 09:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.10%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.57%E -5.65%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.49%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 11:54 |